What are the odds Lewis Libby gets bail pending appeal from the DC Circuit?

This AP article details that Lewis Libby today submitted his application for bail pending appeal to the DC Circuit:

In a motion to the U.S. Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit, Libby argued that the ruling [denying bail] was inappropriate.  He said he has a good chance of having his conviction overturned on appeal and should not have to serve jail time while the court challenge plays out.

“The Bureau of Prisons will shortly designate a prison facility and direct Libby to report within a period of two to three weeks after designation,” his attorneys wrote. “Accordingly, we respectfully ask that the court expedite action on this application.”

Any predictions, dear readers, about his chances for getting bail from the DC Circuit?