Some division in headlines covering SCOTUS divisions in ACCA drug priors cases

I flagged here yesterday the Supreme Court’s oral arguments scheduled for today in the ACCA cases of Brown and Jackson.  Like so many ACCA cases, the task here of sorting out what prior drug offenses trigger ACCA’s 15-year mandatory minimum prison term for illegal gun possession is not for the faint of heart.  The full 85 minutes of argument can be accessed here, and I welcome thoughts about where the Court may seem headed.  The press accounts of the argument, partially linked below, seem to highlight the Justices’ division though also suggest that the defense seem perhaps more likely to prevail:

From Bloomberg Law, “Justices Back Criminal Defendants in Firearm Sentencing Rule“

From Courthouse News Service, “Justices split over longer sentences for defunct drug charges“

From Law360, “Justices Hear Dueling Rules In ACCA Drug Definition Case“

From the New York Times, “Justices Search for Middle Ground on Mandatory Sentences for Gun Crimes“

From the Washington Examiner, “Supreme Court divided on how firearm sentencing law applies to criminal drug offenders“