Exploring possibilities in the SCOTUS state Blakely cases

In this post over at Criminal Appeal, Jonathan Soglin effectively explores possible action by the Supreme Court following its Friday conference on “the several pending California Blakely cases and a similar Tennessee case.”   It seems Jonathan is predicting cert will be denied in these cases, although my money would be on a cert grant in at least one case with oral argument scheduled for next Term.  However, as I explained in this recent post, the more I think about the state Blakely cases from California and Tennessee (background here and here and here), the more unsure I am about what SCOTUS should or will do.

Some related prior posts:

• What should and will SCOTUS do with the state Blakely cases?
• Gearing up for the next Blakely cases
• Blakely at 18 months: a recap of state high court rulings
• State Blakely mess: the split over Blakely‘s application to presumptive sentencing
• Does Blakely draw a bright line? What is that line?
• Latest FSR issue on Blakely in the States